A Study on the Demand System of Taiwanese Outbound Tourism in Asia

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题名:	A Study on the Demand System of Taiwanese Outbound Tourism in Asia
作者:	lin meng yi
贡献者:	Department of Leisure and Recreation Management
关键词:	Demand system;tourism demand;demand elasticity
日期:	2007
上传时间:	2009-11-16 08:06:12 (UTC+0)
出版者:	Asia University
摘要:	The research is analyzed the demand system of Taiwanese outbound tourism in Asia. To focus on establishing a Taiwanese outbound Asia tourism demand system model taking into account seasonal variation effects. The settings of the model will be adjusted according to the verification obtained from documentary evidence. The seasonal variation effects, economic and environmental factors lead to an inverse demand function and demand system restrictions. The research seeks to obtain Taiwanese outbound Asia tourism and an intersecting price flexibility coefficient. This research plans to make use of the constant elasticity demand system as the basis, and with indirect setting effectiveness functions, passing through first-order differential approximation leading to the demand system. Within the demand system, add seasonal, Asian economic crisis, and SARS variation regulatory items. At the same time add every parameter that has restrictive requirements to the seasonal variation requirements. Adopt seeming unrelated regression estimation for Taiwanese outbound tourism demand system. From the results obtained above and the out of season variation demand system, pass through RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and Theil?s inequality coefficient, and carry out a comparison of model simulation capabilities. The end result shows that in the own-price elasticity aspect, five travel countries all appear negative. Cross elasticity aspect, Singapore and Japan, Malaysia and Hong Kong are substitution effect. Thailand and Malaysia are substitution effect, too. No complement effect in each other countries. Japan, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore are the normal goods of travel expenditure, and Thailand is inferior goods. Than the added seasonal dummy effects demand system fit data better than traditional demand system. In other words, it can be said that seasonal variation effects is existed.
显示于类别:	[休閒與遊憩管理學系] 博碩士論文

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